Cross-Market Thesis

No US-Iran peace deal

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $27,300 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $10,200 @ 85¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $7,100 @ 71¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 90¢