Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo Iran peace dealโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $20,100 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 47ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $7,100 @ 71ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 90ยข
No Iran peace deal โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter