Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?, Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,486 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

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Sharp_0xfffad85% win rate

Total

$6,486

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
    $1,746 @ 74¢
  2. 2Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
    $4,740 @ 85¢