Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal arrives in May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,500 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x8c57f75% win rate

Total

$7,500

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,500 @ 26¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,500 @ 76¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,500 @ 18¢
Iran deal arrives in May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter