Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œUS-Iran peace deal unlikelyโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,000 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 73ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 82ยข
US-Iran peace deal unlikely โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter