Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal in early June”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,489 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xb8d2b78% win rate

Total

$7,489

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,489 @ 74¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,000 @ 83¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 43¢
Iran deal in early June — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter