Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo Israel-Hezbollah peace dealโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,701 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,700 @ 90ยข
  2. 2Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,001 @ 84ยข
No Israel-Hezbollah peace deal โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter