Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $38,362 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,602 @ 87¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $15,000 @ 75¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $20,760 @ 83¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter