Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran deal after mid-Juneโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,472 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,083 @ 85ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,388 @ 18ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 31ยข
Iran deal after mid-June โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter