Cross-Market Thesis

Iran deal before July

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,800 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

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Sharp_0x8aaaa81% win rate

Total

$4,800

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 50¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 20¢
Iran deal before July — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter