Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œUS-Iran peace deal by summerโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $18,769 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $9,407 @ 85ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,611 @ 76ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $7,750 @ 88ยข
US-Iran peace deal by summer โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter