Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œRussia-Ukraine war continues through 2026โ€

This trader is expressing a view that Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?, Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,860 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
    $1,610 @ 89ยข
  2. 2Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
    $2,250 @ 75ยข
Russia-Ukraine war continues through 2026 โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter