Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?, Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,464 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xfc2f488% win rate

Total

$2,464

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
    $1,041 @ 80¢
  2. 2Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
    $1,423 @ 71¢