Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran acts July 20, not later”

This trader is expressing a view that Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?, Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?, Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $6,332 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x97ead70% win rate

Total

$6,332

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
    $1,143 @ 81¢
  2. 2Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
    $1,139 @ 86¢
  3. 3Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?
    $1,608 @ 84¢
  4. 4Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
    $1,177 @ 86¢
  5. 5Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?
    $1,264 @ 88¢
Iran acts July 20, not later — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter