Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal won’t happen”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 9 more are correlated outcomes, committing $22,721 to this thesis across 12 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xfc2f480% win rate

Total

$22,721

Markets

12

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,791 @ 20¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,074 @ 27¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,440 @ 18¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,745 @ 47¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,410 @ 47¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,199 @ 8¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $1,240 @ 31¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,120 @ 14¢
  9. 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 60¢
  10. 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,750 @ 35¢
  11. 11US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
    $1,980 @ 44¢
  12. 12US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
    $3,172 @ 40¢
Iran peace deal won’t happen — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter