Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal by mid-June”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,848 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xfc2f484% win rate

Total

$13,848

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,340 @ 13¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,074 @ 27¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,440 @ 18¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,745 @ 47¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,410 @ 47¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,199 @ 8¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $1,240 @ 31¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,400 @ 35¢