Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,545 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xfc2f488% win rate

Total

$6,545

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,360 @ 34¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,440 @ 18¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,745 @ 47¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter