Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran deal by mid-May”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $74,983 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b64% win rate
Total
$74,983
Markets
9
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,470 @ 82¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2,467 @ 76¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$11,126 @ 88¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$21,803 @ 39¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,467 @ 32¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3,617 @ 9¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$25,380 @ 32¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$5,286 @ 11¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2,369 @ 23¢