Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal arrives late April”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $71,156 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xbaa2b64% win rate

Total

$71,156

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,491 @ 17¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,467 @ 76¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $11,126 @ 88¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $21,803 @ 39¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,467 @ 32¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $3,617 @ 9¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $25,380 @ 32¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $3,807 @ 27¢