Cross-Market Thesis

“US-Iran deal in late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $32,730 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x35bbb75% win rate

Total

$32,730

Markets

9

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,544 @ 11¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,235 @ 89¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,718 @ 51¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $3,732 @ 64¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $7,286 @ 71¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $2,258 @ 72¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $7,981 @ 39¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $4,368 @ 19¢
  9. 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $1,609 @ 68¢