Cross-Market Thesis
“US-Iran peace deal this spring”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $21,631 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.
T
Trader_0x614dc67% win rate
Total
$21,631
Markets
9
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,299 @ 17¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$3,215 @ 90¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2,246 @ 84¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,002 @ 67¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,905 @ 56¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$4,410 @ 29¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,800 @ 30¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,086 @ 46¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3,667 @ 15¢