Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal comes early”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $21,103 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xa9e6482% win rate

Total

$21,103

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $2,645 @ 66¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 41¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,000 @ 48¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 35¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $6,458 @ 54¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 39¢
Iran peace deal comes early — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter