Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,655 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xea79566% win rate

Total

$5,655

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,775 @ 71¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,807 @ 89¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,073 @ 69¢