Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal timing mispriced”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $8,565 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xe25b956% win rate

Total

$8,565

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $3,245 @ 13¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,626 @ 22¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,448 @ 36¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,246 @ 22¢