Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal unlikely”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $18,783 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x6d9fc62% win rate

Total

$18,783

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,978 @ 84¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,668 @ 86¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,098 @ 90¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,200 @ 12¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,100 @ 22¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 50¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,740 @ 58¢
Iran peace deal unlikely — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter