Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œNo Iran peace deal soonโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,872 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,170 @ 78ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,370 @ 88ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,332 @ 84ยข
No Iran peace deal soon โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter