Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,746 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $4,450 @ 89¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,296 @ 82¢