Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal won't happen”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $31,847 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x51ff080% win rate

Total

$31,847

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $5,137 @ 88¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $6,143 @ 79¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $6,670 @ 51¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,836 @ 69¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $3,555 @ 79¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $7,506 @ 75¢
Iran peace deal won't happen — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter