Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal lands in May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $26,709 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x162f669% win rate

Total

$26,709

Markets

9

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $2,100 @ 14¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,492 @ 46¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,050 @ 21¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,880 @ 29¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $3,860 @ 10¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $6,141 @ 51¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $3,329 @ 35¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,618 @ 33¢
  9. 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $3,239 @ 81¢
Iran deal lands in May — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter