Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,542 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x162f671% win rate

Total

$5,542

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 10¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,492 @ 46¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,050 @ 21¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter