Cross-Market Thesis

“National Rally wins French presidency”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?, Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?, Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,023 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
    $2,000 @ 89¢
  2. 2Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
    $1,638 @ 23¢
  3. 3Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
    $1,386 @ 32¢
National Rally wins French presidency — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter