Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran peace deal by late May”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 9 more are correlated outcomes, committing $47,530 to this thesis across 12 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x0042551% win rate
Total
$47,530
Markets
12
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16,387 @ 83¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$2,191 @ 18¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4,930 @ 35¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,849 @ 26¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6,144 @ 75¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,226 @ 14¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$4,224 @ 10¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$2,104 @ 78¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,287 @ 72¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,664 @ 53¢
- 11US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,713 @ 74¢
- 12US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,811 @ 73¢