Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran peace deal by late Juneโ€

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,500 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 88ยข
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,500 @ 85ยข
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 70ยข
Iran peace deal by late June โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter