Cross-Market Thesis

“April Deal Then No Lasting Peace”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $10,721 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x9013475% win rate

Total

$10,721

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $2,280 @ 38¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $3,941 @ 60¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,700 @ 21¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,800 @ 53¢