Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal by late April”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $8,165 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x8f7a477% win rate

Total

$8,165

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,450 @ 29¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,031 @ 17¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,170 @ 39¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3,234 @ 44¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,280 @ 26¢
Iran peace deal by late April — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter