Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal lands late April”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $20,326 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x8f7a477% win rate

Total

$20,326

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,460 @ 72¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,031 @ 17¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,170 @ 39¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,312 @ 40¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,280 @ 26¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $14,073 @ 66¢
Iran deal lands late April — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter