Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,350 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0x053d486% win rate

Total

$8,350

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 40¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,207 @ 41¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $5,143 @ 22¢