Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran deal by summer”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $76,710 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x7c3db52% win rate
Total
$76,710
Markets
10
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$60,511 @ 90¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,724 @ 39¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,466 @ 49¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1,393 @ 24¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,378 @ 69¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,474 @ 15¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3,600 @ 36¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$2,837 @ 42¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,225 @ 74¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,100 @ 22¢