Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran peace deal imminent

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $9,393 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xc84f789% win rate

Total

$9,393

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $1,222 @ 11¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,329 @ 32¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,280 @ 32¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,600 @ 8¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,277 @ 23¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,685 @ 37¢