Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran peace deal likely”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $35,731 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0xb100459% win rate
Total
$35,731
Markets
10
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,311 @ 84¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$3,041 @ 26¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10,968 @ 50¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,964 @ 56¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,182 @ 57¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$3,131 @ 25¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,315 @ 55¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5,081 @ 71¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$4,816 @ 85¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,922 @ 24¢