Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran peace deal unlikely

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,539 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xecaa869% win rate

Total

$16,539

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $2,830 @ 40¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,422 @ 60¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,259 @ 71¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $8,027 @ 62¢
US-Iran peace deal unlikely — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter