Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal unlikely before November”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $31,217 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xd914d84% win rate

Total

$31,217

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $2,400 @ 81¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $6,459 @ 71¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,045 @ 60¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $2,248 @ 84¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,822 @ 63¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $4,243 @ 67¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
    $11,000 @ 36¢
Iran deal unlikely before November — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter