Cross-Market Thesis
“AfD wins between 42% and 45%”
This trader is expressing a view that Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?, Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?, Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? are correlated outcomes, committing $11,641 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0x6db9881% win rate
Total
$11,641
Markets
3