Cross-Market Thesis

AfD wins between 42% and 45%

This trader is expressing a view that Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?, Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?, Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes? are correlated outcomes, committing $11,641 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x6db9881% win rate

Total

$11,641

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?
    $5,160 @ 86¢
  2. 2Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?
    $4,240 @ 68¢
  3. 3Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?
    $2,241 @ 84¢
AfD wins between 42% and 45% — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter