Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $4,929 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x3c59370% win rate

Total

$4,929

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,604 @ 33¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,292 @ 35¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,033 @ 37¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter