Cross-Market Thesis

“S will land outside both ranges”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?, Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? are correlated outcomes, committing $2,832 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x98d0474% win rate

Total

$2,832

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
    $1,471 @ 81¢
  2. 2Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?
    $1,361 @ 87¢
S will land outside both ranges — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter