Cross-Market Thesis

Peace deal only in June

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $5,931 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x8f2f065% win rate

Total

$5,931

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,731 @ 17¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,320 @ 66¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,140 @ 57¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,740 @ 87¢