Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal timing arbitrage”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,973 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xcdb1f86% win rate

Total

$13,973

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,293 @ 86¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $3,644 @ 63¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,260 @ 63¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $2,933 @ 86¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $1,059 @ 66¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $3,785 @ 82¢
Iran peace deal timing arbitrage — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter