Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deadline arbitrage”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $33,522 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.

0x88e2...7489

Total

$33,522

Markets

9

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $3,250 @ 13¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,250 @ 25¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,975 @ 56¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $2,679 @ 13¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,704 @ 69¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
    $3,100 @ 31¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,299 @ 22¢
  8. 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $3,519 @ 50¢
  9. 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $11,747 @ 36¢
Iran peace deadline arbitrage — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter