Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal by spring”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $22,565 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x2c39256% win rate

Total

$22,565

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 15¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $3,934 @ 48¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $4,472 @ 52¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,578 @ 71¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $3,709 @ 24¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,566 @ 87¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
    $2,306 @ 34¢
Iran deal by spring — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter