Cross-Market Thesis

“Social Democrats win 27–30%”

This trader is expressing a view that Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?, Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? are correlated outcomes, committing $3,677 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Whale_0xdade088% win rate

Total

$3,677

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
    $1,144 @ 55¢
  2. 2Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
    $2,533 @ 79¢
Social Democrats win 27–30% — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter