Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal by late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,843 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xdc03d79% win rate

Total

$7,843

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,272 @ 37¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,422 @ 17¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,150 @ 47¢