Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $16,693 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x4478d58% win rate

Total

$16,693

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
    $1,400 @ 14¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,600 @ 16¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $10,693 @ 42¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,200 @ 12¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $1,800 @ 18¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter