Cross-Market Thesis
“No US-Iran peace deal”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $45,424 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0x9cdac76% win rate
Total
$45,424
Markets
6
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10,000 @ 18¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,398 @ 64¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$9,968 @ 85¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4,100 @ 71¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,958 @ 62¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$16,000 @ 89¢