Wallet_0x04821Polymarket Trader

Wallet_0x04821 is a Polymarket trader who has generated +$45,017 in profit with a 32% win rate across $1,930,284 invested on Polymarket.

Trading Performance

Win Rate
32%
Total P&L
+$45,017
Total Invested
$1,930,284
0x0482...6b0a

0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a

P&L

$45,017

Win Rate

32%

Markets

594

W/L

112/233

Flagged

0x

Past Positions

WIN

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

Yes · Entry 51¢ → 100¢

$486

+$103

LOSS

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1460?

No · Entry 10¢ → 0¢

$1,561

-$156

LOSS

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?

No · Entry 21¢ → 0¢

$1,732

-$369

LOSS

Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No · Entry 41¢ → 0¢

$198

-$82

LOSS

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

No · Entry 2¢ → 0¢

$3,324

-$61

LOSS

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Yes · Entry 10¢ → 0¢

$8,482

-$605

WIN

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Yes · Entry 79¢ → 100¢

$2,460

+$30

LOSS

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?

Yes · Entry 3¢ → 0¢

$1,468

-$44

LOSS

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Yes · Entry 4¢ → 0¢

$8,048

-$185

LOSS

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

No · Entry 1¢ → 0¢

$12,233

-$199

WIN

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Yes · Entry 83¢ → 100¢

$408

-$87

LOSS

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

No · Entry 4¢ → 0¢

$13,421

+$227

WIN

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Yes · Entry 36¢ → 100¢

$130

+$18

LOSS

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

No · Entry 5¢ → 0¢

$14,733

-$313

LOSS

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No · Entry 5¢ → 0¢

$13,408

-$620

LOSS

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Yes · Entry 26¢ → 0¢

$100

-$26

EXITED

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Yes · Entry 17¢ → 17¢

$4,653

-$62

EXITED

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes · Entry 49¢ → 46¢

$1,517

-$84

EXITED

Trump kiss by May 31?

No · Entry 5¢ → 6¢

$8,455

+$765

EXITED

Trump kiss by May 31?

Yes · Entry 44¢ → 63¢

$5,309

+$2,224