3-wallet Simakin cluster

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Ilia Simakin in the Gwangju, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets with strong realized profits piled into Ilia Simakin around 49-50¢ during a sharp volume burst, and the Alex Bolt sell converts to the same directional view.
Total
$9,397
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets aligned on Ilia Simakin for about $9.4k in a coordinated burst, including one bettor up $5.8M lifetime.
- Two of the wallets have massive sample sizes and strong profits, with one winning 73% of 3,105 resolved bets.
- They bought around 49-50¢, so the thesis is that this match is closer to a coin flip or better for Simakin than the market implied.
Copy Trade
Buy Ilia Simakin at 50¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 4:22 AM