Thin-market Rolex whale

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Subdial — specifically, the Rolex Index chart available at https://subdial.com/market. The daily values in USD shown on the chart will be used for resolution. This market refers to prices displayed in USD. To switch the display currency, use the currency toggle located at the left beneath the graph and select “USD” instead of “GBP”. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart reaches the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026, is published, and the listed price has not been reached. If no data for April 30, 2026, has been published by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to published data points on the Bloomberg x Subdial Watch Index for Rolex chart before the April 30, 2026 data point has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
A moderately successful bettor concentrated nearly $4.8k into a very thin Rolex market across related contracts, moving through a weak order book with unusual size and conviction.
Total
$4,771
Trades
3
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$22,656
Analysis
- This wallet wins 73% of its resolved bets and put $4.8k into related Rolex targets in one burst.
- The trades were huge for this market, ranging from 97% to 433% of recent volume with only about $100 of book depth.
- Buying between 55¢ and 73¢ shows strong conviction in a niche market, even though the price has since slipped to 38¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 63¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 3:36 PM